56 15 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
722 64 Strength Momentum |
762 41.2(52) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | Santa Fe | 0.000 | 984 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 589 | 25% | |
08/26/15 | at Capital | 0.000 | 1074 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 605 | 15% | |
08/29/15 | Robertson ?? | 0.000 | 615 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-4) | 506 | 65% | |
09/02/15 | at Socorro | 0.001 | 1158 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 648 | 10% | |
09/05/15 | East Mountain | 0.001 | 952 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 624 | 28% | |
09/08/15 | Taos | 0.003 | 816 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 607 | 42% | |
09/16/15 | at Bernalillo !! | 0.012 | 958 | W 4- 2 | Better (+5) | 951 | 23% | |
09/19/15 | Portales | 0.023 | 760 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 729 | 49% | |
09/22/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.036 | 576 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 611 | 64% | |
09/24/15 | at Santa Fe Indian ! | 0.041 | 762 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 853 | 43% | |
09/26/15 | Monte del Sol ? | 0.038 | 752 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 524 | 49% | |
09/28/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.041 | 1262 | L 0- 6 | Expected (0) | 700 | 6% | |
10/03/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.137 | 752 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 799 | 44% | |
10/05/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.180 | 612 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 628 | 61% | |
10/06/15 | ATC | 0.153 | 442 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 771 | 80% | |
10/12/15 | Desert Academy | 0.344 | 612 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 705 | 66% | |
10/17/15 | at Bosque | 0.384 | 1185 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 764 | 9% | |
10/19/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.533 | 762 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 680 | 48% | |
10/22/15 | at ATC | 0.405 | 442 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 794 | 77% | |
10/23/15 | St. Michael's | 0.252 | 1262 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 676 | 8% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 762, while
Santa Fe Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 723
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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